Medical Office · Underwriting Model

Medical Office Underwriting Model

How to build a medical office underwriting model: hospital-affiliation premium, Stark-compliant FMV rent, above-standard TI, and long build-to-suit terms.

Why the underwriting model looks different for medical office

Rent in a medical office model gets justified against Stark Law and anti-kickback fair market value (FMV) documentation, not market comps alone; hospital-affiliated leases that deviate from documented FMV create regulatory exposure a generic office rent comp doesn't capture.

Above-standard tenant improvements (medical gas lines, imaging shielding, backup power) run well above general office TI, and the model reserves for that premium explicitly rather than applying a blended office TI/SF assumption.

Tenant credit in medical office is reimbursement-driven: a physician group's revenue depends on payor mix and reimbursement rates, not just corporate guarantor strength, so the credit screen looks past the lease guarantee to the underlying practice economics.

The medical office-specific checklist

  1. 1

    Build the rent roll

    Verify: unit- or tenant-level detail with rent, term, recoveries

  2. 2

    Project market rent growth

    Verify: submarket-specific; avoid flat nationals assumption

  3. 3

    Model recoveries explicitly

    Verify: CAM, tax, insurance broken out, not blended

  4. 4

    Run sensitivity on exit cap

    Verify: ±75 bps and stress the downside

  5. 5

    Build debt sizing

    Verify: LTV and DSCR constraints both checked

  6. 6

    Compute leveraged IRR and equity multiple

    Verify: cash flow to equity, not enterprise

  7. 7

    Confirm on-campus vs. off-campus status and hospital affiliation terms

    Verify: affiliation and any lease-back arrangement documented against the health system agreement

  8. 8

    Verify lease rent against Stark Law / anti-kickback FMV documentation

    Verify: FMV appraisal or documentation on file, not just broker market comps

  9. 9

    Model above-standard TI at a $/SF premium over general office

    Verify: medical gas, imaging shielding, and backup power costs itemized separately from base TI allowance

  10. 10

    Reserve for long build-to-suit lease rollover risk on a WALT-weighted basis

    Verify: reserve reflects actual lease expiration schedule, not a blended general-office WALT assumption

  11. 11

    Screen tenant reimbursement and payor-mix health as a credit input

    Verify: payor concentration and reimbursement trend reviewed alongside corporate guarantor strength

  12. 12

    Confirm certificate-of-need status for any embedded expansion space

    Verify: CON approval or exemption confirmed before underwriting expansion square footage

Metrics that matter for medical office

Metric Target Calculation
Hospital-affiliation rent premium >8% vs. off-campus comps (on-campus rent − off-campus comp rent) / off-campus comp rent
Payor concentration exposure <35% of tenant revenue from top 3 payors tenant revenue tied to top-3 payors / total tenant revenue (diligence-sourced)
TI/build-to-suit reserve coverage 100% of modeled above-standard TI annual reserve / (RSF rolling × $/SF above-standard TI)
WALT (yrs) >7 weighted avg remaining lease term
Hospital affiliation on-campus or affiliated qualitative
Renewal probability >85% historical renewal rate × credit quality adjustment

Red flags unique to medical office

  • Rent modeled at market comps without Stark/FMV documentation on file

    hospital-affiliated leases priced above documented fair market value create regulatory risk that can force a rent reset or lease unwind, a comp-based rent assumption alone doesn't screen for this

  • TI reserve set at general-office $/SF despite medical-grade build-out requirements

    medical gas, imaging shielding, and backup power routinely push medical office TI 40–80% above general office, an undersized reserve understates the real cost of re-tenanting

  • Tenant credit modeled on corporate guarantor alone, ignoring reimbursement exposure

    a physician group's ability to pay rent depends on payor mix and reimbursement rates, a strong guarantor on paper can still face declining practice economics that a lease-only credit screen misses

  • Hospital affiliation undocumented

    on-campus or affiliated-off-campus positioning materially changes re-leasing risk

  • Tenant improvements underwritten at replacement cost

    medical build-outs run $100–$250/SF; pro forma understating this routinely breaks renewal economics

  • No right of first refusal on adjacent suites

    constrains tenant growth and increases departure risk at renewal

  • Less than 50% of leases 7+ years remaining

    medical-office valuation rests on long WALT; short term risks re-leasing cycle

Example — medical office underwriting model walkthrough

The subject is a 92,000 SF medical office building on a hospital campus adjacent to a 350-bed health system, 94% leased with an 8.4-year WALT, priced at $50.0M, $543/SF. The rent roll splits between a 38,000 SF hospital-affiliated anchor at $30.00/SF NNN and 48,480 SF of independent physician groups at $34.75/SF NNN, producing gross potential rent of $2,824,680. Before this rent is underwritten, it has to be checked against Stark Law and anti-kickback FMV documentation; an on-campus hospital-affiliated lease priced above documented fair market value creates regulatory exposure a market comp alone won't flag.

NNN reimbursements at $8.75/SF across 86,480 occupied SF add $756,700, bringing effective gross income to $3,581,380. Non-reimbursable retained costs are a 3% management fee ($107,441) and a capex reserve for above-standard building systems (medical gas, imaging shielding, backup power) at $0.85/SF ($78,200), well above a general-office reserve. Year 1 NOI is $3,395,739, a 6.79% going-in cap rate.

TI runs well above office norms: above-standard build-out for medical tenants averages $85/SF versus roughly $45/SF for general office, amortized against the long build-to-suit lease terms typical of this asset class. Those long terms are also part of why the 8.4-year WALT holds up. A separate reserve of $0.95/SF/year ($87,400) is carried below NOI for rollover TI, sized to the medical-grade premium rather than a blended office assumption.

Debt sizes at a 1.35x DSCR floor (higher than general office, reflecting reimbursement and regulatory risk on tenant health), implying $40.6M of proceeds, but 60% LTV caps the loan at $30.0M, so LTV binds. At exit after a 7-year hold with 2.75% annual NNN rent growth, Year 1 NOI carries to roughly $4,103,700 by Year 8; the exit cap is set 20 bps above entry at 6.99% to price the regulatory and reimbursement risk conservatively, producing a terminal value near $58.7M. The on-campus rent premium, roughly 8% over off-campus comps per the underwriting benchmark, survives only as long as the hospital affiliation and the FMV documentation behind it hold up.

Download the medical office underwriting model template

Pre-populated Excel template matching this checklist, ready to use on your next deal.

Get the template →

Questions about medical office underwriting model

Automate medical office underwriting model with Moraine

Upload the documents and get the analysis, the red-flag report, and the template in one pass.