Medical Office · Underwriting Model
Medical Office Underwriting Model
How to build a medical office underwriting model: hospital-affiliation premium, Stark-compliant FMV rent, above-standard TI, and long build-to-suit terms.
Why the underwriting model looks different for medical office
Rent in a medical office model gets justified against Stark Law and anti-kickback fair market value (FMV) documentation, not market comps alone; hospital-affiliated leases that deviate from documented FMV create regulatory exposure a generic office rent comp doesn't capture.
Above-standard tenant improvements (medical gas lines, imaging shielding, backup power) run well above general office TI, and the model reserves for that premium explicitly rather than applying a blended office TI/SF assumption.
Tenant credit in medical office is reimbursement-driven: a physician group's revenue depends on payor mix and reimbursement rates, not just corporate guarantor strength, so the credit screen looks past the lease guarantee to the underlying practice economics.
The medical office-specific checklist
- 1
Build the rent roll
Verify: unit- or tenant-level detail with rent, term, recoveries
- 2
Project market rent growth
Verify: submarket-specific; avoid flat nationals assumption
- 3
Model recoveries explicitly
Verify: CAM, tax, insurance broken out, not blended
- 4
Run sensitivity on exit cap
Verify: ±75 bps and stress the downside
- 5
Build debt sizing
Verify: LTV and DSCR constraints both checked
- 6
Compute leveraged IRR and equity multiple
Verify: cash flow to equity, not enterprise
- 7
Confirm on-campus vs. off-campus status and hospital affiliation terms
Verify: affiliation and any lease-back arrangement documented against the health system agreement
- 8
Verify lease rent against Stark Law / anti-kickback FMV documentation
Verify: FMV appraisal or documentation on file, not just broker market comps
- 9
Model above-standard TI at a $/SF premium over general office
Verify: medical gas, imaging shielding, and backup power costs itemized separately from base TI allowance
- 10
Reserve for long build-to-suit lease rollover risk on a WALT-weighted basis
Verify: reserve reflects actual lease expiration schedule, not a blended general-office WALT assumption
- 11
Screen tenant reimbursement and payor-mix health as a credit input
Verify: payor concentration and reimbursement trend reviewed alongside corporate guarantor strength
- 12
Confirm certificate-of-need status for any embedded expansion space
Verify: CON approval or exemption confirmed before underwriting expansion square footage
Metrics that matter for medical office
| Metric | Target | Calculation |
|---|---|---|
| Hospital-affiliation rent premium | >8% vs. off-campus comps | (on-campus rent − off-campus comp rent) / off-campus comp rent |
| Payor concentration exposure | <35% of tenant revenue from top 3 payors | tenant revenue tied to top-3 payors / total tenant revenue (diligence-sourced) |
| TI/build-to-suit reserve coverage | 100% of modeled above-standard TI | annual reserve / (RSF rolling × $/SF above-standard TI) |
| WALT (yrs) | >7 | weighted avg remaining lease term |
| Hospital affiliation | on-campus or affiliated | qualitative |
| Renewal probability | >85% | historical renewal rate × credit quality adjustment |
Red flags unique to medical office
-
Rent modeled at market comps without Stark/FMV documentation on file
hospital-affiliated leases priced above documented fair market value create regulatory risk that can force a rent reset or lease unwind, a comp-based rent assumption alone doesn't screen for this
-
TI reserve set at general-office $/SF despite medical-grade build-out requirements
medical gas, imaging shielding, and backup power routinely push medical office TI 40–80% above general office, an undersized reserve understates the real cost of re-tenanting
-
Tenant credit modeled on corporate guarantor alone, ignoring reimbursement exposure
a physician group's ability to pay rent depends on payor mix and reimbursement rates, a strong guarantor on paper can still face declining practice economics that a lease-only credit screen misses
-
Hospital affiliation undocumented
on-campus or affiliated-off-campus positioning materially changes re-leasing risk
-
Tenant improvements underwritten at replacement cost
medical build-outs run $100–$250/SF; pro forma understating this routinely breaks renewal economics
-
No right of first refusal on adjacent suites
constrains tenant growth and increases departure risk at renewal
-
Less than 50% of leases 7+ years remaining
medical-office valuation rests on long WALT; short term risks re-leasing cycle
Example — medical office underwriting model walkthrough
The subject is a 92,000 SF medical office building on a hospital campus adjacent to a 350-bed health system, 94% leased with an 8.4-year WALT, priced at $50.0M, $543/SF. The rent roll splits between a 38,000 SF hospital-affiliated anchor at $30.00/SF NNN and 48,480 SF of independent physician groups at $34.75/SF NNN, producing gross potential rent of $2,824,680. Before this rent is underwritten, it has to be checked against Stark Law and anti-kickback FMV documentation; an on-campus hospital-affiliated lease priced above documented fair market value creates regulatory exposure a market comp alone won't flag.
NNN reimbursements at $8.75/SF across 86,480 occupied SF add $756,700, bringing effective gross income to $3,581,380. Non-reimbursable retained costs are a 3% management fee ($107,441) and a capex reserve for above-standard building systems (medical gas, imaging shielding, backup power) at $0.85/SF ($78,200), well above a general-office reserve. Year 1 NOI is $3,395,739, a 6.79% going-in cap rate.
TI runs well above office norms: above-standard build-out for medical tenants averages $85/SF versus roughly $45/SF for general office, amortized against the long build-to-suit lease terms typical of this asset class. Those long terms are also part of why the 8.4-year WALT holds up. A separate reserve of $0.95/SF/year ($87,400) is carried below NOI for rollover TI, sized to the medical-grade premium rather than a blended office assumption.
Debt sizes at a 1.35x DSCR floor (higher than general office, reflecting reimbursement and regulatory risk on tenant health), implying $40.6M of proceeds, but 60% LTV caps the loan at $30.0M, so LTV binds. At exit after a 7-year hold with 2.75% annual NNN rent growth, Year 1 NOI carries to roughly $4,103,700 by Year 8; the exit cap is set 20 bps above entry at 6.99% to price the regulatory and reimbursement risk conservatively, producing a terminal value near $58.7M. The on-campus rent premium, roughly 8% over off-campus comps per the underwriting benchmark, survives only as long as the hospital affiliation and the FMV documentation behind it hold up.
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Get the template →Questions about medical office underwriting model
Stark Law and anti-kickback rules require that rent between hospitals or health systems and referring physicians reflect documented fair market value, not an inflated rate tied to referral volume. A medical office model needs FMV documentation on file for hospital-affiliated leases, not just a market comp, because non-compliant rent creates real regulatory and lease-unwind risk.
Medical tenants require above-standard build-out (medical gas lines, lead or radiation shielding for imaging, backup power, specialized plumbing) that general office space doesn't need. Institutional medical office TI commonly runs 40–80% above general office TI, and the model should reserve for that premium explicitly.
Beyond the corporate guarantor, a physician group's rent-paying ability depends on its payor mix and reimbursement rates from insurers and government programs. A credit screen limited to guarantor strength can miss declining practice economics driven by reimbursement pressure, payor concentration should be evaluated as a separate diligence input.
A certificate of need (CON) is state approval required in many markets before certain healthcare facilities or services can expand. Underwriting any embedded expansion square footage in a medical office model requires confirming CON status first, space that can't legally be built out as medical use isn't worth the same as space that can.
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